Boston Review Newsletter








On Borrowed Time

Urban decline moves to the suburbs

A few months ago, about 125 leaders from religious institutions, civic organizations, and social service groups met at Etz Chaim synagogue in the town of Lombard, in DuPage County, to wrestle with a new reality: a budget crisis. Budget crises aren not supposed to happen in places like west suburban DuPage. It is home to nearly one million souls and more than 600,000 private sector jobs. It boasts a median income of $70,000, one of the highest in the nation. And yet the county, strapped for cash, was threatening to cut convalescent services, veterans’ services, housing assistance, breast cancer screening, and many other essential public functions.

Until recently DuPage County had been one of the big winners during the forty-year decline and imminent collapse of Cook County. Major corporations fled Chicago’s failing downtown and moved to DuPage’s open spaces and tax-friendly towns. Working class homeowners on the west and southwest sides of the city sold their bungalows and bought ranch houses, Cape Cods, and new town homes in Wheaton and Naperville and Downers Grove. Families troubled by the city’s public schools happily sent their children into shining new facilities and well-equipped classrooms. County government prided itself on its lean budgets and effective service-delivery.

By the date of the meeting, however, the developers who had helped double DuPage’s population in just 30 years had run out of land. The income generated by their construction efforts had dwindled to a trickle. Education and public safety costs continued to climb. Scores of specialized local districts and commissions—water, sanitary, and others —absorbed hundreds of millions of dollars that never made it into the general operating budget of the county and were subject to little, if any, scrutiny or oversight. And residential real estate taxes—the backbone of the county’s budget due to the long-standing agreement to attract and retain business by keeping commercial taxes low—soared.

The leaders facing the crisis were themselves a new reality—more diverse than anyone would have imagined just ten years ago. In the modern synagogue meeting space, sitting around tables of ten, were approximately fifteen Muslim leaders from mosques and community centers, five Hispanics who were part of an exploding population drawn to the county by plentiful employment, and several African immigrants and African Americans. About one out of four participants were not white—a ratio that represents the make-up of the new DuPage. They were brought together by the leaders and staff of the local Industrial Areas Foundation (IAF) affiliate called DuPage United.

The organizer of the group, Amy Lawless, asked me—a veteran organizer with IAF working in both the Chicago and New York metropolitan areas—to give a 30-minute talk about the state of the county. I started off where I often do, by thinking back to the west side of Chicago, to the corner of Ferdinand and Springfield near Garfield Park, where my family lived. There was no way to know, in the 1950s, that we were living at the city’s high point. The massive economic and political, civic and religious institutions had seemed as solid and stable as glaciers to those living with them or in their shadows. From the second floor of our double-brick corner house, we could see the tavern that we once owned, the then-modern building that housed Newark Electronics, where my father and I would someday work, and the row of houses that blocked a view of Tootsietoy Company, where my mother would be employed. Four blocks north was our parish, Our Lady of the Angels. Many thousands attended Mass each Sunday. Sixteen hundred children packed its classrooms.

By the mid-1980s, it was all rapidly declining. Today, our home, along with thousands of others, is abandoned. A state social service center fills the old electronics plant. Tootsietoy’s products are mostly made in China. And the parish church and school have closed.

In that pleasant synagogue meeting space, with the last of the new McMansions going up across the street, with 60,000 more workers commuting in to DuPage each day than commuting out, with the local football teams on the rise and the SAT and ACT scores still high, I suggested that perhaps the county had hit its own high-water mark and that without clear-eyed re-evaluation, it was poised, as Chicago had been in the mid-1950s, for decline.

DuPage is not alone, of course. In Nassau and Suffolk Counties in New York, in Montgomery and Baltimore Counties in Maryland, in Bergen and Essex and Middlesex Counties in New Jersey, in almost every mature suburb in the northeast and Midwest and mid south, families face these same conditions. A Roman Catholic pastor I met in Nassau County described it as suburbia’s midlife crisis. It may be part of America’s midlife crisis as well.

No longer young, no longer trendy, no longer the place to be, no longer without apparent limitations or constraints, these places, like people, have developed ways of avoiding reality.

Denial (supported by ever-stronger doses of public relations). One way is just to deny that there are new realities, or that these new realities will ever affect them. Hundreds of older cities and suburbs, large and small, do this. Denial keeps the real estate crowd happy—selling the safety and schools and jobs of the suburbs, while ignoring the property taxes and rising school and public safety costs, hoping that the younger and fresher and business-hungry counties further west, or the factories of China and tech campuses of India, don’t tempt too many companies to leave.

Gimmicks. A municipality buys a soccer team, or minor league baseball franchise, or jai alai fronton, or casino, or all of the above. Bigger municipalities start selling or leasing large parts of themselves. Just two years ago, Chicago leased the Skyway in an attempt to generate revenue and plug holes in an election-year budget. In late 2007, the papers were filled with stories about another $250 million gap. What’s the next one-shot? Naming rights are being discussed. And, of course, there is always the summer Olympics of 2016. In a desolate corner of the near-south side, amid boarded up gray stones and eerily empty boulevards during what should be the morning rush hour, a beleaguered local pastor told me that the possibility of an Olympic swimming venue (proposed by the city, for eight years in the future, as part of an Olympic bid with little or no chance of succeeding) would help revive the neighborhood.

Blaming “others.” In cities of the 1950s, the “others” were the black workers who had arrived by the hundreds of thousands for jobs that were just beginning to disappear. They needed housing and schools for their children. And the Democratic machine was more than happy to enrich itself by taking money from the developers and real estate hustlers who were running white ethnics out of their neighborhoods and steering minorities in. The political establishment blamed the blacks for the neighborhoods’ decline. This extraordinary trope made it possible for a major American city to demolish much of its public housing stock—nearly 18,000 units—and essentially not replace it. Ten years ago, these 18,000 families were promised replacement apartments. To date, fewer than 2,000 have been built, most not affordable to the original renters. When I described this situation to two young and prosperous Chicago businessmen, they expressed no surprise. Blacks were the problem, weren’t they? And they had to hand it to Mayor Daley for figuring out how to evict them without greater opposition. Today, in the suburbs, the new “others” are immigrants—Hispanic and Muslim. Some blame them for the current fiscal crisis. Meanwhile, the structural, financial, and political challenges of the suburbs—built into their creation and preceding the newest wave of immigrants by three decades—are not dealt with.

Withdrawal: Increasing fragmentation and privatization. As the budget crises persist, as the gimmicks become more transparent and inadequate, as the racial and ethnic rhetoric rises, those with resources begin to protect their own interests. Walls of all kinds are built. Private colleges and hospitals will became fiefdoms —supplying their own security, sanitation, even housing at times. Private schools for those who can afford them multiply. Gated communities have become the norm. Most suburbs had little public housing or public transportation to begin with. But the logic for anything “public” will be challenged as revenue to support any shared public activity shrinks. The forces for and against public effort, public institutions, and public life will soon collide in the public schools and public safety agencies of the suburbs.

We have moved a long way from the vision of the nation that Abraham Lincoln described in his Message to Congress, on July 4, 1861, “To elevate the condition of man . . . To lift artificial weights from all shoulders; To clear the paths of laudable pursuit for all; To afford all, an unfettered start, and a fair chance, in the race of life . . .” “All” is what FDR had in mind when he formulated the New Deal. It is not a word you hear in the public arena—city, county, state, or nation—these days.

Instead, in the Land of Lincoln, older cities like Chicago and counties like Cook have already shown how to focus on the few. Their economic strategies have benefited those who own the businesses that cater to the tourist trade, not the workers who make the beds and chop the onions. They have created enclaves around universities and hospitals where parents can buy condos for their student-children and where private security forces patrol the streets. They have sequestered revenues generated by business and medical clusters within those districts, thus starving the larger public housing, health, transit, and educational systems in the sprawling ghettos just outside the gates. They have encouraged construction of homes and apartment towers that few local residents can afford, which are bought as investment by European and South American elites. And they have kept control of the courts, jails, and police forces —patronage for the operatives who guarantee machine incumbency, the industry of incarceration weakly buffering the loss of the steel and auto and other manufacturing industries of the past.

Many of the paths of laudable pursuit have been closed or semi-privatized—walled, gated, guarded—for some time. For three generations of African Americans, the city and county have been places of a deep and extended depression. For the white-ethnic working class, the results have been more mixed. Hundreds of thousands of families, like mine, lost equity repeatedly as each neighborhood on the west and south sides was re-segregated. Fearful whites sold low. Blacks desperate to flee tenements bought high. The real estate hustlers, with the blessing of the Democratic machine, made fortunes and kicked a percentage back to the local ward alderman or committeeman. Other whites accepted the instability of repeated neighborhood change for the stability of patronage employment. The city government that put food on the table took money from their savings accounts at Pioneer Bank and Talman Savings and Loan in the form of lost home equity. For more recent immigrants, the city has been stripped of opportunity in some places and sealed off in others.

The Democratic machine and its allies have fought an increasingly costly rear-guard action for nearly half a century. At the end of that period, the image of the city has been burnished, but Chicago is basically broke. Housing abandonment, homelessness, and foreclosure rates are all at historic highs. 34 public school children were murdered during the 2006-7 school year alone. The police force staggers under multiple charges of abuse and corruption. The old bungalow bedrock of the city—blue-collar and tax-paying—has disappeared.

It is instructive to compare Chicago with New York, which seemed in even worse shape 30 years ago. Most Americans remember the famous tabloid headline: “Ford to New York: Drop Dead.” As late as the mid-1980s, a major magazine sported a picture of a darkened city on its cover with the letters, “NYC RIP.” Indeed, beginning in the late 1970s, the city was locked in a very public life-and-death struggle. Only emergency action by labor unions and others saved the city fiscally. But, when faced with municipal mortality—perhaps because it had to face its own mortalitya strange thing happened. The city slowly began to revive.

This revival didn’t start in City Hall or in some political gathering. It wasn’t engineered by a major builder like the legendary Robert Moses. And it wasn’t the brainchild of a great corporate or financial titan. This building began locally, in some of the most forgotten corners of a city that was battling the equivalent of a virulent and advanced form of cancer. It started in East Brooklyn and the South Bronx and the Manhattan area called Washington Heights.

In the late 1970s, a little known group called the Community Preservation Corporation (CPC) began rehabilitating apartment buildings in one of the areas that Hollywood loved—drug-ridden Washington Heights. After 14,000 units were built in a decade, most of the rental housing in the area had been returned to useful life. In 1980, one of our organizations, East Brooklyn Congregations (EBC), began its work in an area a touring mayor from Boston dubbed, “The beginning of the end of civilization.” EBC built 3,000 new, affordable, owner-occupied homes on the vacant acres there, and is constructing 1,500 more as we speak. In the South Bronx, another IAF group, South Bronx Churches, built one thousand homes starting in 1986, while other efforts led by Father Lou Gigante and Mary Daily built or renovated thousands more. Common Ground created 2,000 units of housing for formerly homeless people, giving them shelter, services, and an alternative to the streets. 2,000 more are now in development. Over a 25-year period, more than 200,000 units of housing have either been upgraded or built from scratch. A million New Yorkers have returned to the city, pushing its population back over 8.25 million. The city spent $500 million a year in some years on housing production. In the process, New York transformed lots filled with rubble and tires into neighborhoods for the hard-working families that lived in public housing, but couldn’t afford even a starter home in a suburb. Those families held on. They saved. They bought. And they benefited from one of the greatest public works efforts in modern times. Private developers vie for the remaining lots in places like Mott Haven or East New York, where they can now build market-rate housing. This, although with its own challenges, was utterly unthinkable in 1980.

During this same period, a similar renewal effort was occurring in public transit. In the 1970s and 1980s, New York City subways were famous for breakdowns, fires, and crime. The number of riders plummeted in what seemed to be a death-spiral. Massive state support solicited by Richard Ravitch and engineered by the late Speaker of the Assembly Stanley Fink and then-Governor Mario Cuomo helped stabilize the system. An epic campaign to block the construction of a West Side highway led by Marcy Benstock saved billions for mass transit. Relentless advocacy by Gene Russianoff and the Straphangers Campaign kept the problems and potential of the transit system on the radar screens of the press and politicians. Able management by Robert Kiley meant that the funds raised and saved were put to good use. A workforce of 40,000 transit employees, most city dwellers, kept the trains and buses running. Today, breakdowns are rare and crime is remarkably low. Predictably, riders jam the trains and buses at all hours of the day and night. New York is now expanding the subway system by adding spurs and new lines.

Finally, the police department has benefited from the leadership of three mayors over a twenty-year period. David Dinkins secured the funds to hire additional cops. Rudy Giuliani made public safety the hallmark of his administration and hired Bill Bratton to revolutionize police work in the city. And Michael Bloomberg both institutionalized and improved on Giuliani’s work, making New York one of the safest big cites and a challenge for the Hollywood crowd looking for edgy street scenes. This year, the number of homicides may dip to 500—down from 2,250 little more than a decade ago.

These three major improvements are so large in scale that they are hard to see, absorb, or interpret. Each improvement had a different trajectory and a different character, but they shared some characteristics.

Each was extremely costly, requiring sustained financial support for fifteen years or more. But each long-term investment, once it hit critical mass, also generated extraordinary value. The value of real estate has soared in the toughest and most distant corners of each borough. An NYU study has shown the existing homes near IAF’s Nehemiah sites benefited greatly from our construction.

Each improvement took time to build, reach critical mass, and generate a chain reaction in the right direction. The turnaround in public safety has occurred over a fifteen-year period. The renewal of the transit system started nearly 25 years ago. And the revival of the housing stock is in its 30th year, if you count, as we do, the work of CPC in Washington Heights as the starting point.

Each improvement was led by a mix of leaders. The overwhelming majority came from the civic or voluntary sector and from the government sector (both elected officials, but as, or more, importantly, able administrators in the housing, transit, and public safety fields). The private sector could point to an occasional participant, but, by and large, it lagged the other two sectors by a large margin.

And each improvement was contentious. Those leaders involved in each of these three efforts were by no means in sync, cooperative, or even civil to one another. On the contrary, each effort was accompanied by disputes, rivalries, jealousies, and open warfare at times. There was no centralized “meeting of all the stakeholders” in some lavish foundation conference room or elegant university hall.

What to make of this? Even today, the conventional wisdom is that New York is out of control, dangerous, dirty; a nice place to play, but a terrible place to live. And Chicago is tidy, orderly, safe, and a great destination for tourists, business people, and university students. As someone who has lived in and around both cities for nearly 30 years each, I know how hard it is to be objective about them. And stereotypes, once set, often trump reality. Besides, Chicago is the private preserve of the Daley clan, and the current Daley projects all that’s positive about the city and takes any criticism of it personally. Chicago has a face and a lake front focus. New York is no one’s personal preserve, not the current mayor’s (who is a billionaire), not the previous mayor’s (who was a presidential candidate), not the next mayor’s. New Yorkers relish their edginess and untidiness, even exaggerate it at times. New York has a blur of faces and multiple points of interest.

One conclusion to draw is that it is better in the long run—as an individual or as a municipality—to face reality. Sometimes, a crisis, like New York’s flirtation with bankruptcy, can help trigger that confrontation. The reality in New York 30 years ago was that both the market and the government had failed miserably—the market unwilling to invest in devastated areas or support a dying city, the government wasting hundreds of millions on do-nothing programs run by local groups connected to hapless pols.

When I described the situation in DuPage County and other areas to a well-respected Republican advisor, he responded in the predictable way: “How about cutting business taxes? Wouldn’t that attract commerce and people?” But business taxes have always been low in Republican-led DuPage County and are decreasing as a percentage of overall revenue. Even with low taxes, even with 600,000 private sector jobs, even with 60,000 more workers traveling to the county for work than commuting from it, the county finds itself in structural fiscal distress.

Besides, when reality is finally and fully faced, it is not all bad. While a whole generation of institutions has declined, a new generation has begun to emerge. In DuPage, the Muslim and Hispanic communities are rising and eager to contribute to the next phase of the county’s life. Evangelical congregations are growing and thriving all across the country, many arriving at their own mid-life moment after 30 years of astonishing growth. The local community college—The College of DuPage—attracts a diverse cohort of 30,000 students to a single sprawling campus. Community colleges, which began decades ago as small and often isolated vocational schools, now educate 45% of college students in the United States. Vibrant networks created and led by those recovering from alcohol and substance abuse are major presences in almost every urban neighborhood or suburban development. In Long Island, these recovery communities are navigating their ways into the public arena cautiously and creatively. From the most forlorn corners of Chicago’s west side to the packed streets of East Harlem, social entrepreneurs are establishing hundreds of new public schools and public charter schools. In all of these areas, organizations like DuPage United and East Brooklyn Congregations and Washington Interfaith Network and Greater Boston Interfaith Organization are beginning to imagine, design, and implement solutions to what once seemed to all intractable social problems.

A second conclusion is that many of the current political structures and leaders are either unable or unwilling to deal with these new realities. When you find the exceptions, like a reluctantly persuaded but then fully committed Mayor Ed Koch or a housing commissioner like Felice Michetti, fine. But waiting for most to act or blaming them when they don’t are often not constructive responses. This puts the burden of thinking and acting back on a new type of civic leader: a volunteer with a real following in a local community, but also with a range of analysis and understanding that crosses town or county or city boundaries. The renewal of most of the failed cities of the failed state of Ohio—Dayton, Toledo, Cleveland, Youngstown, Sandusky, Lorain, and many others—depends on men and women who live in and care about those cities. But they will need to relate to leaders well beyond their own towns. And they will need to become a kind of ad hoc economic strategy team for their area, for their state, and for the struggling midwestern region described in Richard Longworth’s fine book, Caught in the Middle.

A third conclusion is that this work will require a new set of allies and partners if it is to succeed. The rebuilding of East Brooklyn depended on the extraordinary leadership and financial support of three religious bodies—the Roman Catholic Diocese of Brooklyn, the Episcopal Diocese of Long Island, and the Missouri Synod Lutheran Church of St. Louis. These three institutions disagreed on almost everything doctrinally, but came together to invest millions of no-interest construction financing to help EBC build affordable housing. Other key allies were the late I.D. Robbins and the current general manager of the effort, Ron Waters. These two construction professionals helped facilitate and oversee the extraordinarily difficult and complex rebuilding effort. Another significant ally was the Community Preservation Corporation, which provided invaluable technical assistance and financial support.

Each of these allies was not “local” in the same sense that the East Brooklyn organization was. The local congregational and community leaders had to have the confidence necessary to identify and trust talented people from other spheres. But when they did, they deepened and extended their impact well beyond what anyone could have imagined at the start. A Harvard Business Review piece by John P. Kotter describes the need for leaders to “align” the right participants to improve the odds of making major changes. The current alignment of local and national dynastic leadership, tired liberal programs, stale conservative tax policies, and fragmented municipal entities is all wrong. A new alignment—a new generation of local leaders, visionary supporters like the late Bishop Francis J. Mugavero, top professionals in the fields of finance and new business creation, academic talent that’s not too cautious or not on the establishment’s payroll—is needed. Better yet, a number of new alignments.

A fourth conclusion is that new kinds of money, from new sources, used in creative ways, will be required if cities, counties and regions are to revive. A relatively modest fund of $8 million, raised from religious sources by East Brooklyn Congregations in 1982, fundamentally changed the way its proposal to build affordable, single-family homes was received. The group of pastors and lay people from a part of the city that had been designated by the elites for “planned shrinkage” had somehow amassed a sum of money that impressed the mayor, his commissioners, newspaper editors, and developers. That revolving construction fund has generated housing with a current market value approaching one billion dollars. New pools of money—in the hundreds of millions in smaller cities and billions in larger cities and metropolitan regions—will need to be created by these organizations and their allies. Local governments will need to reject the low-tax or anti-tax theology of the post-Reagan era. Higher taxes in support of carefully targeted social and economic strategies will be key to the rebuilding of older American cities and maturing suburbs. During the most productive years of its housing revival, New York City spent more than the next fifty American cities combined on housing creation and rehabilitation. It shows. The return on this investment is incalculable.

A fifth conclusion is that there may be a need for less government and more planning. Today, there is as much, or more, local, county, and state legislative activity as ever despite decreasing revenues for fewer and fewer priorities. The virulence of internal disagreements and personal vendettas will only increase as resources disappear. Political disputes will resemble academic battles: more intense because they concern so little. For citizens to continue to spend time and energy in this dynamic is deadly, a slow form of political suicide.

I ended my remarks on a lovely late-October night with a challenge: citizens in suburbs like DuPage—historically Republican, politically moderate, located between the vast fields and farms that produced the midwest’s first phase of prosperity and the once-robust manufacturing center of Chicago that forged the region’s second period of wealth—need to align themselves with new leaders from other sectors and cut and clear new paths for peoples’ laudable pursuits in the decades ahead.The very act of doing so, of opening these paths, engaging all, figuring out how to offer all people an unfettered start and a fair chance in the race of life, would reinvigorate people and places and position them for the next rich phase of our local and national experience.


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Comments

1 |
Professor
This is an extraordinarily clear and insightful account of the blow-back of the growth of the affluent suburbs and of the long-term measures that contributed to the revitalization of urban New York. The clear-eyed refusal to push either standard "liberal" or "conservative" agendas is unusual and enlightening.
— posted 03/25/2008 at 04:28 by Kenneth Henley
2 |
Education and Planning
I will assign this for my policy and planning students. A must read.
If we only could see the future impacts of Divisive-Americanism on american citizens; perhaps my students will read this and reap a better future.
— posted 03/25/2008 at 05:39 by Professor MulHolland
3 |
"We have moved a long way from the vision of the nation that Abraham Lincoln described in his Message to Congress, on July 4, 1861, “To elevate the condition of man . . . To lift artificial weights from all shoulders; To clear the paths of laudable pursuit for all; To afford all, an unfettered start, and a fair chance, in the race of life . . .” “All” is what FDR had in mind when he formulated the New Deal. It is not a word you hear in the public arena—city, county, state, or nation—these days."

When Abraham Lincoln delivered his "vision," blacks in the South were slaves, and Lincoln admitted, over and over again, that he would accept that. FDR failed to end the Depression, and spent his entire second term flailing at invisible, and non-existent, enemies. What paleo-liberals like Mr. Gecan cannot stand, and will not understand, is that life is actually much better than it was in the glory days of American liberalism. Liberalism needs a new vision, and Mr. Gecan obviously has no ideas on that subject.
— posted 03/25/2008 at 06:47 by Alan Vanneman
4 |
Condensed Housing
Sounds like the religious institutions only
give back some of their tax free money to the community when things are desperate.If we are relying on religious help for this situation we will be in deep trouble someday.
By keeping the same system of housing and business renewal we are operating with an infinite attitude in a finite world.We have to evolve to a no growth system before the
Earth is destroyed.

— posted 03/25/2008 at 06:49 by Kirk
5 |
Unions Saved NY City
"Only emergency action by labor unions and others saved the city fiscally"

Are you joking? while it is true NY City municipal unions briefly bought short term City bonds when nobody else would, it was those same unions who conspired with the local Democratic machine politicians to trade votes for bloated payrolls. The unions and the pathetic political "leadership" in NY City were one of the primary causes of NY City's financial problems in the first place.

Crediting the Municipal Unions with "Saving" the City is like thanking the mugger who steals your car and wallet but let's you keep your Metrocard for the subway ride home.
— posted 03/25/2008 at 07:13 by Diverx99
6 |
It is interesting that in a long article on urban planning and renewal packed with ideas, Mr. Vanneman chooses to target a particular section of the article, hastily slap a label on Mr. Gecan ("paleo-liberal") and then proceed to pursue his personal political agenda. I would call him a troll, but that's trolling.
— posted 03/25/2008 at 07:28 by Daryl Lim
7 |
Motor City Dissident
Very enlightening, and, in spite of what some think, non-ideological in its prescription for community rebirth. What's not expressed is the hearty hooray! felt at the prospect of suburban decline. Suburbs=cars=oil=a dying paradigm for life on this planet. Is it possible to imagine suburban decline and high fuel prices revitalizing cities and public transit systems?

— posted 03/25/2008 at 08:13 by freeassociate
8 |
organizer
I have met and visited with Mr. Gecan, as well as read his book. This article is truthful, but he misses the prescription:
Regional Equity. This is a major focus of the Gamaliel Foundation, and David Rusk.
Pete da Silva
pete076@hotmail.com
— posted 03/25/2008 at 09:14 by pete da silva
9 |
Wall St Impact
Let's not forget that the resurgence of New NYC came against the the backdrop of the sustained bull market for Wall Street and its professionals over the last 25 years. New York IS the financial industry, as anyone who tries to buy a Manhattan apartment will tell you. Without that tax revenue, the story may have been very different.
— posted 03/25/2008 at 12:14 by Chris
10 |
Where is the argument?
Well written, but there is no discernible analysis or argument. You also miss two key points re NYC and Chicago: (1) NYC is a poor example because its revival has disproportionately -- even shamefully -- benefited the rich. The middle class remains priced out of all but the farthest of outer-borough neighborhoods, and the poor are being pushed out due to declining subsidized and rent-controlled housing stock. (2) Chicago's revival has been much more sustainable and far-reaching than you acknowledge -- have you not noticed the huge numbers of middle-class families with school-age children who are opting to stay in the city even as other socioeconomic groups move to DuPage? Look at rises in CPS test scores. Look at the construction/rehab boom in middle-class condo stock that continues even now, as housing markets in the rest of the nation (including DuPage) tank. (3) I also take issue with your implication that the people chopping onions in the tourist trade do not benefit. I am certainly not suggesting it's fair that most of the benefits accrue to the wealthy. But tourism creates jobs that didn't and wouldn't exist before, and helps fill the vacuum left by the flight of manufacturing jobs to China.
— posted 03/25/2008 at 12:49 by Michelle
11 |
Gloom and Doom Nonsense
So Mr. Gecan was invited to Lombard and saw precisely what he had previously decided he would see. Is this a surprise? He apparently had his manifesto written before he arrived. I live in Lombard, which has always been a mid-range suburb in comparison with others in DuPage. Lombard is a fine place to live. My block is home to white, black, Indian, Albanian, Mexican and Filipino neighbors, and we all get along famously. This in itself is reason for optimism. Houses built in the early 60's continue to be torn down just so that larger houses with bigger kitchens and bathrooms can be built. Major condo developments are filling up, and new businesses are opening up all the time. The Village does a great job in the area of Public Works. We enjoy high levels of parental involvement in the schools. None of this is showing any sign of falling apart, and the idea that it must fall apart because Mr. Gecan's neighborhood did 50 years ago is silly in the extreme. It will take a lot of work and attention to keep DuPage moving in the right direction in an era of economic and societal change, but there is simply no reason to suppose that it can't be done. All the empirical evidence that Mr. Gecan offers points away from the conclusion that DuPage is in crisis. His argument amounts to the idea that DuPage has nowhere to go but down, and certainly there are challenges ahead. But however "young and trendy" the city is, people still come here to raise their kids. It's not Hollywood's or Academia's idea of Suburbia - not by a long shot. It's diverse and imperfect, and small-d democratic, so local government is admittedly messy. I'd never describe Lombard as the garden spot of the western suburbs - Naperville has that title locked up - but we do OK.
— posted 03/25/2008 at 13:17 by Terry Fitz
12 |
The end of suburbia?
The yuppies may move back to the city, but i predict the working classes will keep moving further out.
— posted 03/25/2008 at 15:28 by Luke Lea
13 |
It's always funny to see such delusional triumphalism vis a vis New York City's turnaround. The progressive leftist thought which drove businesses and the middle class backbone of the city to flee -- and who fought many of the measures which lead to the subsequent reversal of fortunes tooth and nail -- are now taking credit for it.

Thank you James Q. Wilson. Thank you Wall Street. Thank you information revolution. Thank you welfare reform. Thank you community policing. Thank you more sane taxes.

More people are forsaking the suburbs because the cities are now a viable option. Thank heavens for that. But I think I'll projectile vomit if I have to read a victory lap from the left about it when these are the same activist types who used to see artistic merit in graffiti, lament the "suburbanization" of Times Square, bemoan tax incentives for corporations, considered police enforcement with regard to petty street crimes to be fascist, consider black incarceration rates to be racist in spite of the very obvious reality of who commits crime in NY, fought welfare reform to the death, obstructed any efforts to give the heave ho to incompetent teachers, argued that panhandling is freedom of speech, fed the lie that most homeless were families down on their luck rather than substance abusers and the mentally ill, and any number of other lunacies that assured that New York had the vibe of a third world country.
— posted 03/25/2008 at 18:18 by Pepe
14 |
Good reading
...and a wonderful and robust exchange of views. Will the genuine liberal progressives please take a bow. You're first Pepe!
— posted 03/25/2008 at 20:49 by mikh
15 |
Cdn perspective
Interesting article to read from the perspective of Toronto, a city which has undergone tremendous growth since the 1950s but managed to avoid the kind of hollowing out the US midwestern cities like Chicago have experienced. Some of that may have been different social forces present in Canada but also the fact that we never gave up on public transit (and infact built subways in the 50s and 60s) and were able to rotate new immigrants into older downtown neighbourhoods which prevented their decline (even as people moved out to new suburbs). I've never seen an abandoned house in Toronto; the site of blocks of them in Buffalo and Detroit never ceases to amaze me - how bad do things have to get for property to become worthless?
— posted 03/25/2008 at 22:18 by wir sind das volk
16 |
Google 'Peak Oil'.
It's bizarre that this essay doesn't mention it. If suburban living is becoming unworkable, it's because the physical resource base that supports it is declining. And it's not a zero sum game between cities and suburbs: the cities will be in trouble too. Much apparently progressive talk here of 'new realities' and the virtue of facing them, but apparently very little understanding of what these realities will be. Depressingly clueless essay.
— posted 03/25/2008 at 22:21 by YC
17 |
Cdn perspective
Interesting article to read from the perspective of Toronto, a city which has undergone tremendous growth since the 1950s but managed to avoid the kind of hollowing out the US midwestern cities like Chicago have experienced. Some of that may have been different social forces present in Canada but also the fact that we never gave up on public transit (and infact built subways in the 50s and 60s) and were able to rotate new immigrants into older downtown neighbourhoods which prevented their decline (even as people moved out to new suburbs). I've never seen an abandoned house in Toronto; the site of blocks of them in Buffalo and Detroit never ceases to amaze me - how bad do things have to get for property to become worthless?
— posted 03/25/2008 at 22:22 by wir sind das volk
18 |
Oversimplicity
It is so very disappointing to see such over-simplistic explanations destroy what is actually a very interesting situation.

It is also very disappointing to see profound improvements in Chicago turned on their heads to be radical falsehoods. "This extraordinary trope made it possible for a major American city to demolish much of its public housing stock—nearly 18,000 units—and essentially not replace it. Ten years ago, these 18,000 families were promised replacement apartments. To date, fewer than 2,000 have been built, most not affordable to the original renters." Is someone arguing that the Robert Taylor Homes and Stateway Gardens and Cabrini Green should have been kept? Or that construction on 10 different sites isn't still continuing? Please...

And lastly, the engine behind NYC's change is cash -- their great industry is one no other city has -- Wall Street.
— posted 03/26/2008 at 09:39 by Bryan
19 |
Interesting but ...
A well written and lucid analysis of the current situation in America's cities and suburbs, but not entirely accurate in the cause-effect and proposed solutions.

Having lived here in Queens NY my whole life, I have to take issue with some of the conclusions specific to NYC and Long Island and would like to offer my observations. To wit:

-- Except for those in rent controlled and stabilized apartments, there is no real middle class in much of Manhattan below the 90s. The real middle class resides in the outer boroughs.

-- No mention was made renewal of older housing by industrious immigrants from eastern Europe, Asia and South America that has displaced the indigineous minorities such as blacks and Puerto Ricans.

-- Over the last 10 years many NYC minorities have migrated to Pennsylvania, Upstate NY, Long Island, and the Southern States because of the phaseout of unlimited welfare benefits and economic competition from more industrious immigrants. This has lessened the economic drain on the working middle class.

-- The person who provided the impetus for turnaround of NYC was Rudy Guliani. David Dinkins and Mario Coumo were part of the problem, not the solution.

-- Prior to Guiliani, 1 out of every 5 NYC residents was on some form of welfare, crime was rampant, NYC was in economic decline, very few movies were being filmed in the City, car theives were given desk appearance tickets instead of being arrested, bums were harrassing female motorists, etc. He single-handedly solved these problems.

-- NYC suburb, Long Island (Nassau and Sulfolk Counties,) has suffered net loss of population because of unchecked growth of Government, political patronage, limited public transportation, and excessive property taxes, which pushed the cost of living through the the roof.

-- Thanks to Guiliani and Blumberg the subways and public transportation are the preferred form of travelling for most people. The NYC parks are clean and well managed. And NYC is now as it was -- a great place to live.

God bless NYC!
— posted 03/26/2008 at 10:41 by Leonard Bacino
20 |
Old Liberals Never Die...Or Fade Away
Pepe: good points.

Cdn perspective: demographics.

Gecan "This extraordinary trope"- what evidence do you have that it is wrong? Other than, obviously, that anyone who suggests it is an evil racist.... You present none, and in fact much evidence is consistent with it, including the fact that urban decline -along with unassimilated minorities- is moving to the suburbs.
— posted 03/26/2008 at 16:00 by Another Chris
21 |
Touche~
Mike Gecan delivers a passionate and provocative essay rooted in 30+ years of working in the trenches, sleeves rolled up and knuckles scraped. Indeed the tide of the recovery community continues to swell, pouring out over a decades old veil of shame and stigma, lending a broad based experiential voice to the social context of America.
— posted 03/26/2008 at 18:38 by Richard Buckman
22 |
To a person not from Chicago or familiar with it this article may paint a picture that Chicago is all but dead. The city has had a huge growth in the population of middle class people in the last 20-30 years. Areas that were 30 years ago written off as dead have bounced back and immigrants have enhanced many other neighborhoods. Crime is down as in New York and many of the "diverse" people are moving to DuPage because they are being priced out of the city itself. There were more housing starts in the last few years in the city of Chicago itself than in any other municipality in the metropolitian area. I really thought that you were describing another city!
— posted 03/27/2008 at 14:03 by Robert
23 |
safety
It is all about public safety. When Nyc concentrated on public safety there was a resurgence. Chicago has always had a healthy attitude toward crime.

Detroit, the city I live near has not taken crime seriously. All one need do is tour Detroit to see the devastation and abandonment much of it from the droves that left to safer environs (suburbs).

Economic investment's greatest ally is the reduction in crime
— posted 03/27/2008 at 20:36 by drew
24 |
What an impressive piece of distortion.
As a fourth generation Manhattanite who recently walked out on a rent-stabilized, thousand square foot apartment to move to Portland, OR, I find this "analysis" damn near absurd. Evidently only the old establishment mainstays created "the new New York". Funny, but every neighborhood *I* know of that is so desirable now, like the East Village, Williamsburg, the Upper West Side, and so on was rejected by his "saviors", who fought to destroy community gardens to build lowrise subsidized housing that would be badly insulated, badly built, and priced out of the market of most residents. But artists, gay people, and others on the margins moved in, got the drug dealers out, cleaned up the buildings, opened stores, created street traffic, and generally did all the heavy lifting any urban policy expert would agree is central to rebuilding a neighborhood. The same is true of Central Park and many other "marquee" New York attractions. Avenue Q did not come from the Catholic church or Big Labor. Nor did Rent or Blue Man Group. And, as pointed out by posts above, it was people working in financial services, media, and the arts whose demand, money, and work drove most of it. The Dursts didn't do their multibillion dollar work to restructure Times Square starting in the sixties because of government funding; quite the contrary. It took a long time indeed but I assure you that the now Guiliani-branded project was well on the way long before he came on the scene.

As for Guiliani, How anybody still endorses him with a straight face is beyond me. Over two hundred cities across America saw decreases in street crime. Rudy was in one. Rebuilding downtowns was doing just fine, thank you very much, in cities from Sacramento to Burlington to San Antonio when "the Shark" was just one more headline-grabbing prosecutor. Want to know about his role in NY? Ask a firefighter.

"Increased housing stock"? Don't make me laugh. In the last two years before I walked out on my increasingly decrepit apartment the rent went up almost twenty percent, as did the rent on all the other thousands of units under the same legislation. By the time I left, much of the three block long area my building was in had been reduced to rubble for condos. All across New York rent stabilized and controlled housing has been deregulated, condoized, or simply condemned and torn down. Having a real estate executive as governor hasn't helped. Many thousands of middle class families and seniors have been forced out.

I lived on the edge of Washington Heights for thirty years and I saw a hell of a lot of hard work by people like Symphony Space that Mr. Gecan's chuches and unions dismissed with loathing and contempt. Hard work that brought back streets his people still ignore. All while the working class and middle class food and clothing stores all got priced out and replaced with high-priced boutiques. Did the groups he mentioned build housing? Well, yeah, but largely because of squatter-friendly laws the Koch administration passed that gave anybody who did enough documented sweat equity on such abandoned properties ownership of their building. Laws that more recent mayors have reversed.

Buildings were being rehabbed, as were community resources like ABC No Rio, Charas, and Dos Blacos, in record numbers with no help from and frequently with opposition of Mr. Gecan's friends. And these "radical" rehabbers were frequently doing all they could to put in greenroof and solar and gardens and all the other kinds of amenities and improvements that Mr. Gecan's friends are only now discovering to be important. Twenty to thirty years later. Umbrella House may not be his cup of tea but their way is sustainable, practical, scalable, community-oriented, and cheap.

I've seen the shoddy, mock suburban or cement block under brick veneer crap Mr. Gecan's friends have put in, inside and out. I've seen the adventurous, sometimes beautiful, reliably loved projects by the individuals and groups Mr. Gecan ignores. I know which I, and, I suspect, history, favor.
— posted 03/28/2008 at 11:48 by Rustin Wright
25 |
It happens everywhere
I happen to live in an "exurb" area. We used to live in an inner ring suburb but then it got too "dark." It may offend your liberal sensitivities to hear this, but too bad.

After the community became about 15% black, the quality of life went down. The houses were not maintained, the kids started complaining about harassment at school, and crime rates did go up. We never had any sort of violence in the area before this but, after some time, we experienced a shooting.

These were the blacks that were supposed to be "just like us." They had escaped the ghetto to live in a better place and at first, I totally respected that.

But through that experience, I learned that I will never live near large numbers of blacks ever again. I even picked up another job in order to live where I do. If I have to work four jobs to live away from them I'll do whatever it takes.

I spent 28 years of my life being "tolerant." After 3 years in a "diverse" area, the "tolerance" was slapped out of me.

On a side note: After my experience in the soon to be ghetto, I did a lot of research on segregation. My research has led me to the conclusion that the people who advocated integration were connected to the suburban developers. I'm doing research on this subject and plan on writing a book. No one scored better than the developers from the end of segregation. They knew the end of segregation would lead to big time movement. Just something to think about....

— posted 03/30/2008 at 17:18 by OC
26 |
Whites should live alone without other races.
— posted 03/30/2008 at 19:15 by quinn
27 |
good article
I read this article following the one in Atlantic about "The Next Slum?" which suggested the exurbs are declining while the inner cities are thriving/gentrifying. I would also recommend Alex von Hoffmann's "House by House Block by Block" which traces renewal in a variety of cities.

While I disagree about whether Chicago gets the Olympics (Brazil is the only real competition) and I think the long-winded ex-Manhattanite has some points about how New York got rehabbed, I think Gecan did an excellent job of both avoiding the analysis-deprived ideological positions both left and right and of charting how governments get into debt: by depending on growth.

The pattern in DuPage is clear - reliance on residential taxes works for about 40 years because the continued growth shields existing businesses and residents from the real costs of shared services. Once land runs out, the Bronx starts burning. The Atlantic article suggested that the next step for many of the areas is to get denser - just as urban areas did by chopping homes into 2-flats or 3-flats or more. I live in a mature suburb with rapid transit (34% black by the way, and richer and nicer than it was when it was 12% black) where building densities have increased in the last 15 years although population is still lower than the 1970s but that is a function of how much space we now use per individual and smaller families. Like Chicago and New York, our town filled its borders, unable to expand after about 1960. This led to decline, but then our town, like Chicago and New York, figured out a new pattern of growth that would allow it to thrive.

Turning a farm field into a subdivision or home center is the jellyfish of economic development - as primitive and dumb as you can get. DuPage County is now faced with evolving, as places like New York did before, and become a creature that performs economically without dumb development. This evolution is not an even process and local and county governments are often the last to acquire a backbone. My lovely diverse town has real estate taxes that consume a fifth of my income, (that number roughly corresponds to what I would spend on private schools in the city), and the county is nearly broke. But like Manhattan, I don't need a car where I live and the real wild card in this discussion is automobile subsidies. All of these places, especially DuPage, were built in a 40-year window of low gas prices and massive federal automotive subsidies (especially roads) that won't return. DuPage is already angling for tons of new public transit, which they will need if they alter the business-subsidy tax structure, and given how things are going, they will.
— posted 03/31/2008 at 16:13 by professor vinny
28 |
Ouch.
"long-winded ex-Manhattanite"?

Ouch. And sorry. I'm afraid that brevity is rarely one of my strong points.
— posted 04/01/2008 at 19:53 by Rustin Wright
29 |
Real cause of urban decline
Why is it that the sins and failures of the public sector are always blamed on insufficient funding and encroaching privatization? The residents of the Chicago at its peak in which Mr. Gecan grew up during the 1950's, paid a state sales tax of 4% and no state or local income tax. Today the residents of a hollowed out Chicago pay a state/city sales tax of 9% and a 3% state income tax on top of crippling property taxes. In return for being gouged, they get illusory city services and a public school system that is unable to produce functionally literate graduates for the real world. The bloated police force is more an instrument of further revenue enhancement through traffic and parking citations than a real crime fighting machine.

Mr. Gecan neglects to mention that Chicago has experienced an unprecedented citywide building boom that has touched even previously blighted areas. This boom is the result of private initiative and not anything that the politicians and planners have done other than to stand aside.

The real problem here and a drag on the local economy is the greedy, gluttonous and unaccountable public sector that collects its funding at gun point through every imaginable tax, fee and fine and then, predictably, fails to deliver the promised goods. So if there truly is a move toward privatization, then such a phenomenon should be celebrated. The people with guns have failed miserably at all their stated civic goals except for the most important unstated one which is to enrich themselves and their friends at the expense of everyone else. But then why shouldn't they? The city run public school monopoly has conveniently neglected to teach its charges that historically that is what people with guns, AKA the government, always do.

It's time for the failed, corrupt public sector to be cast onto the trash heap of history. The use of force is clearly the wrong social organizing tool. Freedom of choice, freedom of association, voluntarism and spontaneous social interactions are the way to go. That is what once built America. It's time for the working people of Chicago and other cities to keep their money and control their destiny without the interference of self serving politicians, bureaucrats and planners pining for some fantasy public life.
— posted 04/02/2008 at 13:00 by MetaCynic
30 |
re: Real cause of urban decline
"Why is it that the sins and failures of the public sector are always blamed on insufficient funding and encroaching privatization? The residents of the Chicago at its peak in which Mr. Gecan grew up during the 1950's, paid a state sales tax of 4% and no state or local income tax. Today the residents of a hollowed out Chicago pay a state/city sales tax of 9% and a 3% state income tax on top of crippling property taxes."

The federal income tax topped out at around 80% during the Eisenhower era. Taxes (and public revenues) are lower now than ever, which is why public education and mass transit is crumbling.
— posted 04/09/2008 at 01:38 by countZ
31 |
Professor of Law
The current condition of cities is the predictable and inevitable consequence of the major government policies adopted after WW II, that favored suburbs at the expense of cities, by encouraging and subsidizing families to leave cities and move to the suburbs where life was (and still is) more agreeable and more lucrative -- i.e., the purchase of a suburban family home turned out to be a spectacular investment for the middle class. Add to that the urban pathologies that followed -- urban riots, the rise in crime (particularly in the 1970s), the catastropic decline in the safety and quality of urban public schools, the rise of the urban underclass and of the homeless roaming city streets, and redevelopment which quickly became an engine of destruction of low and moderate cost urban housing, and you get exactly what we got: emptying cities and growing suburbs. Ideas and policy coices have consequences.
— posted 04/10/2008 at 13:26 by Old Curmugeon
32 |
The things that destroyed Chicago and other urban centers were social welfare programs and high taxes that detroyed the incentive to work. Also, unions that lined their pockets at the expense of future investment. Only a nincompoop would have left the conveniences of the urban neighborhood for the high rents and expenses of the suburbs unless he/she were driven out. With its disasterous social welfare programs, the government succeeded in moving virtually the entire middle class to the suburbs. As the welfare programs have been eliminated, the cities are reviving and criminals are being prosecuted and hunted down by the police. However, the stupid socialists are at it again. Raising taxes and forcing people to flee ever farther form the cities and even moving out of state. The government bureaucracies are again loading up on patronage and raping the taxpayers through entities like the public schools. They are intent on destroying the Reagan legacy. Each generation has to learn the hard way.
— posted 07/14/2008 at 12:20 by jorod
33 |
Interesting read from someone who obviously knows quite a bit about both places and their dynamics. Why can't we just give the man some credit and agree to disagree civilly? Many of the comments seem to reflect his warning about conflicts over nothing. The commenters all bring their particular shade of rose-colored glasses to the party, including the old he-is-just-a-liberal-and-cannot-be-trusted canard. Is this reflective of the current decline nationwide? Has the current flavor of conservatism improved the commons?

Regardless of one's political opinion, the fact is that it takes smarts and consistent action, including money, over a sustained period of time to bring a city back to economic health. It doesn't happen by itself. Capitalism sucks the marrow from that which it feeds upon, and it does not reward the commons. It rewards private individuals and institutions, and if they are not forced to contribute back (they used to do it willingly, but even that was haphazard) to the commons, then we all suffer in the end. Pretty simple to me.
— posted 08/21/2008 at 08:48 by Audeamus
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About the Author

Michael Gecan is on the national staff of the Industrial Areas Foundation and is the author of Going Public. His essays have appeared in several national publications.

Michael Gecan Taking Faith Seriously



Trust the bag with the god on the tag

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